URT vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
TOM
1 - 0
URT
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
URT
0 - 2
CRZ
8%
20%
72%
|
45 | 76 | 31 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
URT
1 - 0
UBE
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ATM
3 - 0
URT
91%
7%
2%
|
44 | 84 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
URT
0 - 3
AMF
9%
21%
70%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
VAS
8%
19%
74%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
AMF
0 - 1
CAL
87%
11%
3%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
PAT
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
CRZ
0 - 1
CAL
83%
13%
4%
|
43 | 76 | 33 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
TOM
14%
24%
62%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |