União de Leiria vs Sourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ADN
0 - 2
UDL
14%
23%
64%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 1
UDL
15%
23%
62%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
UDL
32%
26%
43%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2017 |
UDL
4 - 0
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
GAF
0 - 5
UDL
8%
16%
76%
|
53 | 14 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 2
ANA
27%
26%
47%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 1
UDL
15%
23%
62%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GDA
1 - 0
SOU
24%
22%
54%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 0
TOU
49%
26%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 0
SOU
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |