União de Leiria vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
45%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
7º
2º
35
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
UDL
0 - 1
MON
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
REA
1 - 0
UDL
20%
25%
55%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
UDL
15%
22%
63%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
UDL
1 - 1
ACA
36%
27%
36%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ALV
0 - 1
UDL
42%
26%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 1
TOR
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 3
AMO
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 1
BEL
16%
27%
57%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
REA
0 - 1
BEL
19%
27%
55%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 0
ACA
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |