Flamingo Santos vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamingo Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 5
SUA
47%
22%
32%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CEN
5 - 0
UNI
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
CHA
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 12 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
TOW
48%
24%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SES
3 - 0
UNI
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ORA
1 - 1
BOT
55%
25%
21%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MOW
2 - 1
BOT
47%
25%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 0
EXT
56%
22%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NIC
0 - 0
BOT
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 3
MFC
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |