União CE vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
63%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União CE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
TIR
1 - 0
UNI
60%
19%
21%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 1
UNI
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 1
MAR
31%
24%
45%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 0
ICA
28%
23%
49%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
CGF
1 - 2
UNI
41%
22%
37%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
HOR
2 - 0
FLO
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
PAC
1 - 1
HOR
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
HOR
1 - 4
FLO
41%
24%
36%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
FER
2 - 0
HOR
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
HOR
1 - 1
CAU
63%
19%
18%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |