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Poland Fourth Division. Matchday 35

Unia Swarzędz Nielba Wagrowiec
6 ELO 5
3% Tilt 101%
10525º General ELO ranking 10988º
126º Country ELO ranking 142º
ELO win probability
26.6%
Unia Swarzędz
21.2%
Draw
52.2%
Nielba Wagrowiec

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
Unia Swarzędz
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
52.2%
Win probability
Nielba Wagrowiec
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Unia Swarzędz
+24%
+79%
Nielba Wagrowiec

Points and table prediction

Unia Swarzędz
Their league position
Nielba Wagrowiec
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
19º
15º
47
18º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Radunia Stężyca
87
87
100%
Świt Skolwin
81
81
100%
Polonia Środa
76
76
100%
Starogard Gdański
61
61
100%
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
58
58
100%
Sokół Kleczew
57
57
100%
TKP Elana Torun
56
56
100%
Unia Janikowo
54
54
100%
Jarota Jarocin
49
49
100%
Bałtyk Koszalin
10º
48
48
10º
100%
Nielba Wagrowiec
11º
47
47
11º
33%
Flota Swinoujscie
12º
47
47
12º
33%
Bałtyk Gdynia
13º
47
47
13º
33%
Pomorzanin Toruń
14º
43
43
14º
100%
Unia Swarzędz
15º
41
41
15º
100%
Przodkowo
16º
40
40
16º
50%
Gwardia Koszalin
17º
40
40
17º
50%
Pogoń Szczecin II
18º
39
39
18º
100%
Gryf Wejherowo
19º
36
36
19º
100%
Górnik Konin
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Chemik Police
21º
18
18
21º
100%
Mieszko Gniezno
22º
4
4
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Unia Swarzędz
Nielba Wagrowiec
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Nielba Wagrowiec
NIE
Unia Swarzędz
USW
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Unia Swarzędz
Unia Swarzędz
1%
X%
2%
ELO USW ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jun. 2021
JAR
Jarota Jarocin
2 - 1
Unia Swarzędz
USW
47%
27%
26%
102 188 86 -1
12 Jun. 2021
USW
Unia Swarzędz
1 - 1
Unia Janikowo
UNI
45%
27%
28%
102 76 26 0
06 Jun. 2021
KOS
Bałtyk Koszalin
2 - 2
Unia Swarzędz
USW
45%
27%
28%
102 109 7 0
02 Jun. 2021
SOK
Sokół Kleczew
1 - 2
Unia Swarzędz
USW
47%
27%
26%
101 146 45 +1
28 May. 2021
KOT
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
1 - 1
Unia Swarzędz
USW
46%
27%
27%
101 104 3 0

Matches

Nielba Wagrowiec
Nielba Wagrowiec
1%
X%
2%
ELO NIE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jun. 2021
NIE
Nielba Wagrowiec
2 - 4
Pomorzanin Toruń
KSP
46%
27%
27%
83 90 -7 -1
12 Jun. 2021
NIE
Nielba Wagrowiec
8 - 1
Mieszko Gniezno
MGZ
47%
27%
26%
82 40 42 +1
06 Jun. 2021
JAR
Jarota Jarocin
2 - 0
Nielba Wagrowiec
NIE
47%
27%
26%
83 186 103 -1
03 Jun. 2021
NIE
Nielba Wagrowiec
4 - 0
Unia Janikowo
UNI
46%
27%
27%
82 77 5 +1
29 May. 2021
KOS
Bałtyk Koszalin
2 - 2
Nielba Wagrowiec
NIE
45%
27%
28%
82 108 26 0