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Poland Fourth Division. Matchday 12

Unia Janikowo Starogard Gdański
7 ELO 6
54% Tilt 26%
10015º General ELO ranking 9516º
144º Country ELO ranking 130º
ELO win probability
57%
Unia Janikowo
20.5%
Draw
22.6%
Starogard Gdański

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
Unia Janikowo
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
22.6%
Win probability
Starogard Gdański
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Unia Janikowo
+70%
-16%
Starogard Gdański

Points and table prediction

Unia Janikowo
Their league position
Starogard Gdański
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
14º
25
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kalisz
45
75
33%
Radunia Stężyca
40
71
24%
Świt Skolwin
39
62
13%
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
39
69
17%
Mieszko Gniezno
36
66
11%
Unia Janikowo
33
62
17%
Sokół Kleczew
27
47
10%
Starogard Gdański
25
43
10º
10%
Polonia Środa
23
49
8%
Pogoń Szczecin II
10º
21
45
8%
Chemik Police
11º
21
37
11º
9%
Gwardia Koszalin
12º
18
35
14º
9%
Bałtyk Koszalin
13º
17
33
17º
9%
Nielba Wagrowiec
14º
16
36
12º
9%
Jarota Jarocin
15º
15
35
13º
10%
Górnik Konin
16º
14
34
15º
10%
Grom Nowy Staw
17º
14
34
16º
9%
Bałtyk Gdynia
18º
10
19
18º
27%
Expected probabilities
Unia Janikowo
Starogard Gdański
Champion
10% 0%
Mid-table
89% 85%
Relegation
1% 14%

ELO progression

Unia Janikowo
UNI
Starogard Gdański
KSG
Chemik Police
CHP
Gwardia Koszalin
GWA
Świt Skolwin
SKO
Kalisz
KAL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Unia Janikowo
Unia Janikowo
1%
X%
2%
ELO UNI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2019
KAL
Kalisz
3 - 3
Unia Janikowo
UNI
45%
27%
28%
126 154 28 0
28 Sep. 2019
UNI
Unia Janikowo
2 - 0
Jarota Jarocin
JAR
46%
27%
27%
125 121 4 +1
21 Sep. 2019
KOT
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
2 - 3
Unia Janikowo
UNI
46%
27%
28%
125 96 -29 +1
14 Sep. 2019
UNI
Unia Janikowo
3 - 3
Grom Nowy Staw
GNS
46%
27%
27%
125 124 1 0
07 Sep. 2019
NIE
Nielba Wagrowiec
1 - 4
Unia Janikowo
UNI
45%
27%
28%
124 153 29 +1

Matches

Starogard Gdański
Starogard Gdański
1%
X%
2%
ELO KSG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2019
KSG
Starogard Gdański
1 - 1
Świt Skolwin
SKO
46%
27%
28%
103 135 -32 0
28 Sep. 2019
KOS
Bałtyk Koszalin
0 - 0
Starogard Gdański
KSG
46%
27%
28%
103 61 -42 0
21 Sep. 2019
KSG
Starogard Gdański
0 - 2
Górnik Konin
GKP
47%
27%
26%
104 33 71 -1
14 Sep. 2019
MGZ
Mieszko Gniezno
5 - 1
Starogard Gdański
KSG
46%
27%
28%
106 66 -40 -1
07 Sep. 2019
KSG
Starogard Gdański
3 - 0
Gwardia Koszalin
GWA
47%
27%
26%
104 60 44 +1