noscript image

Poland Fourth Division. Matchday 16

Unia Janikowo vs Bałtyk Koszalin analysis

Unia Janikowo Bałtyk Koszalin
7 ELO 4
33% Tilt 32%
8562º General ELO ranking 9449º
87º Country ELO ranking 136º
ELO win probability
50.1%
Unia Janikowo
23%
Draw
26.9%
Bałtyk Koszalin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
Unia Janikowo
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.9%
Win probability
Bałtyk Koszalin
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Unia Janikowo
+72%
-31%
Bałtyk Koszalin

Points and table prediction

Unia Janikowo
Their league position
Bałtyk Koszalin
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
14º
17
11º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kalisz
45
74
29%
Radunia Stężyca
40
70
20%
Świt Skolwin
39
63
13%
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
39
69
15%
Mieszko Gniezno
36
65
12%
Unia Janikowo
33
62
18%
Sokół Kleczew
27
45
9%
Starogard Gdański
25
43
10%
Polonia Środa
23
47
9%
Pogoń Szczecin II
10º
21
41
10º
9%
Chemik Police
11º
21
40
11º
9%
Gwardia Koszalin
12º
18
34
16º
9%
Bałtyk Koszalin
13º
17
32
17º
9%
Nielba Wagrowiec
14º
16
37
12º
9%
Jarota Jarocin
15º
15
34
15º
10%
Górnik Konin
16º
14
35
13º
8%
Grom Nowy Staw
17º
14
34
14º
9%
Bałtyk Gdynia
18º
10
25
18º
20%
Expected probabilities
Unia Janikowo
Bałtyk Koszalin
Champion
12% 0%
Mid-table
87% 71%
Relegation
1% 28%

ELO progression

Unia Janikowo
UNI
Bałtyk Koszalin
KOS
Chemik Police
CHP
Świt Skolwin
SKO
Górnik Konin
GKP
Bałtyk Gdynia
BAL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Unia Janikowo
Unia Janikowo
1%
X%
2%
ELO UNI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 2019
GKP
Górnik Konin
0 - 1
Unia Janikowo
UNI
45%
27%
28%
127 32 -95 +1
26 Oct. 2019
UNI
Unia Janikowo
2 - 1
Mieszko Gniezno
MGZ
47%
27%
26%
127 71 56 +1
19 Oct. 2019
GWA
Gwardia Koszalin
1 - 6
Unia Janikowo
UNI
42%
28%
31%
125 60 -65 +1
12 Oct. 2019
UNI
Unia Janikowo
0 - 3
Starogard Gdański
KSG
45%
27%
28%
126 103 23 -1
05 Oct. 2019
KAL
Kalisz
3 - 3
Unia Janikowo
UNI
45%
27%
28%
126 154 28 0

Matches

Bałtyk Koszalin
Bałtyk Koszalin
1%
X%
2%
ELO KOS ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2019
KOS
Bałtyk Koszalin
0 - 5
Świt Skolwin
SKO
45%
27%
28%
59 135 -76 -1
25 Oct. 2019
BAL
Bałtyk Gdynia
0 - 0
Bałtyk Koszalin
KOS
47%
27%
26%
59 102 43 0
19 Oct. 2019
GKP
Górnik Konin
1 - 2
Bałtyk Koszalin
KOS
45%
27%
28%
59 33 -26 +1
12 Oct. 2019
KOS
Bałtyk Koszalin
1 - 4
Mieszko Gniezno
MGZ
46%
27%
27%
60 69 -9 -1
05 Oct. 2019
GWA
Gwardia Koszalin
2 - 0
Bałtyk Koszalin
KOS
46%
27%
27%
61 59 -2 -1