FAW Championship Sur. Jor. 5

Undy Athletic vs Carmarthen Town analysis

Undy Athletic Carmarthen Town
24 ELO 45
8.2% Tilt 12.2%
25790º General ELO ranking 5114º
82º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
13.4%
Undy Athletic
20.4%
Draw
66.1%
Carmarthen Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
Undy Athletic
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
66.1%
Win probability
Carmarthen Town
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Undy Athletic
Carmarthen Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Undy Athletic
Undy Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 2021
UND
Undy Athletic
5 - 2
Port Talbot Town
POR
74%
15%
11%
23 15 8 0
21 Sep. 2021
HAV
Haverfordwest County
5 - 0
Undy Athletic
UND
77%
15%
9%
24 50 26 -1
17 Sep. 2021
TAF
Taffs Well
3 - 0
Undy Athletic
UND
54%
21%
25%
24 28 4 0
11 Sep. 2021
UND
Undy Athletic
1 - 2
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
21%
20%
60%
25 36 11 -1
04 Sep. 2021
PEN
Penybont
7 - 0
Undy Athletic
UND
87%
10%
3%
26 58 32 -1

Matches

Carmarthen Town
Carmarthen Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2021
GOY
Goytre United
1 - 1
Carmarthen Town
CAR
35%
25%
40%
45 41 4 0
25 Sep. 2021
NEW
Newtown
1 - 1
Carmarthen Town
CAR
79%
13%
7%
45 61 16 0
21 Sep. 2021
CAR
Carmarthen Town
1 - 0
Risca United
RIS
85%
11%
5%
45 27 18 0
18 Sep. 2021
CAR
Carmarthen Town
3 - 1
Cambrian & Clydach
CAM
44%
24%
32%
43 45 2 +2
11 Sep. 2021
CWM
Cwmbran Celtic
1 - 1
Carmarthen Town
CAR
14%
21%
65%
44 26 18 -1
X