UNDEBA vs SUBT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2015 |
UND
4 - 1
SCH
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
UND
1 - 1
HUB
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
HOL
0 - 0
UND
42%
26%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 1
UND
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
SUB
1 - 1
UND
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
HOL
5 - 3
SUB
47%
26%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
BAR
7 - 1
SUB
59%
22%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SUB
1 - 2
VIC
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
HUB
0 - 1
SUB
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
SUB
1 - 1
UND
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |