Uncastillo J vs Santa Engracia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
68.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+140%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uncastillo J
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
AGR
5 - 2
UNC
62%
19%
19%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
UNC
1 - 4
DEP
9%
14%
77%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 1
UNC
34%
19%
47%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
BIO
3 - 3
UNC
73%
14%
13%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
UNC
1 - 1
PUY
44%
20%
36%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Engracia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
4 - 0
DEP
21%
20%
59%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BIO
2 - 4
SAN
53%
20%
27%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SAN
4 - 0
PIN
54%
20%
26%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
AGR
3 - 1
SAN
23%
21%
57%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 0
ALE
66%
17%
17%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | +1 |