UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
40.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNAN Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
UNA
3 - 1
REA
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
CFC
0 - 2
UNA
39%
25%
37%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
UNA
1 - 1
MAN
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
JAP
0 - 0
UNA
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
UNA
1 - 0
JUV
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 3
EST
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
CFC
71%
19%
11%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
DIR
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
DEP
68%
20%
13%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
WAL
1 - 1
EST
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |