National Division round 2

Una Strassen vs Differdange 03 analysis

Una Strassen Differdange 03
64 ELO 69
20.9% Tilt 16.5%
1487º General ELO ranking 1457º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
33.8%
Una Strassen
25.1%
Draw
41.1%
Differdange 03

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
Una Strassen
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.1%
Win probability
Differdange 03
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Una Strassen
+24%
+53%
Differdange 03

Points and table prediction

Una Strassen
Their league position
Differdange 03
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
14º
45
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Swift Hesperange
77
77
100%
Progrès Niederkorn
70
70
100%
F91 Dudelange
67
67
100%
Union Titus Pétange
59
59
100%
Differdange 03
45
45
100%
US Mondorf les Bains
45
45
100%
Jeunesse d'Esch
43
43
0%
43
43
0%
Una Strassen
39
39
100%
Wiltz 71
10º
36
36
10º
100%
Victoria Rosport
11º
32
32
11º
100%
Mondercange
12º
29
29
12º
100%
Fola Esch
13º
26
26
13º
100%
Käerjéng 97
14º
25
25
14º
100%
Etzella Ettelbruck
15º
23
23
15º
100%
US Hostert
16º
18
18
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Una Strassen
Differdange 03
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Una Strassen
Differdange 03
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Una Strassen
Una Strassen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Aug. 2022
FOL
Fola Esch
2 - 1
Una Strassen
UNA
57%
22%
21%
64 70 6 0
22 May. 2022
UNA
Una Strassen
2 - 2
Union Titus Pétange
TPE
62%
21%
17%
64 58 6 0
15 May. 2022
RAC
Racing Union
6 - 1
Una Strassen
UNA
44%
26%
30%
65 68 3 -1
08 May. 2022
UNA
Una Strassen
4 - 0
US Hostert
USH
68%
19%
13%
65 55 10 0
01 May. 2022
JEU
Jeunesse d'Esch
1 - 2
Una Strassen
UNA
41%
26%
33%
64 65 1 +1

Matches

Differdange 03
Differdange 03
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Aug. 2022
DIF
Differdange 03
2 - 3
Union Luxembourg
ULU
58%
24%
19%
71 66 5 0
14 Jul. 2022
DIF
Differdange 03
1 - 2
Olimpija Ljubljana
OLI
43%
25%
32%
71 75 4 0
07 Jul. 2022
OLI
Olimpija Ljubljana
1 - 1
Differdange 03
DIF
52%
23%
26%
71 75 4 0
02 Jul. 2022
DIF
Differdange 03
0 - 0
RFC Seraing
SER
62%
20%
18%
71 64 7 0
22 May. 2022
DIF
Differdange 03
2 - 0
Progrès Niederkorn
PRO
45%
25%
30%
70 70 0 +1