UMS de Loum vs Fortuna Mfou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
43.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
5º
10º
9º
18
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 8 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMS de Loum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
BAM
3 - 2
UMS
43%
29%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
UMS
0 - 0
APE
35%
31%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PWD
2 - 2
UMS
45%
29%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
STR
0 - 0
UMS
43%
29%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
APE
0 - 0
UMS
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Mfou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
FAE
2 - 3
ASF
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ASF
2 - 2
FOV
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ASF
1 - 0
CAN
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ASF
0 - 3
UNI
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
ASF
0 - 2
GAZ
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |