UMECIT vs Árabe Unido II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
UME
1 - 0
CHA
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
UME
0 - 2
SSM
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
CEN
2 - 3
UME
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
UME
2 - 0
COL
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
CDE
2 - 1
UME
50%
24%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Árabe Unido II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
CEN
1 - 0
ARA
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
COL
0 - 1
ARA
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 0
SSM
41%
25%
35%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 3
ARA
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 0
ARA
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |