Umeå vs Assyriska FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
40.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
IFK
5 - 0
UME
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
UME
1 - 2
VAR
42%
24%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
IKB
0 - 0
UME
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
OIF
5 - 1
UME
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
UME
5 - 1
TRE
33%
25%
43%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Assyriska FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
ASS
2 - 1
HAL
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
JON
2 - 0
ASS
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ASS
1 - 0
OIF
21%
25%
54%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FAL
1 - 1
ASS
62%
21%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
ASS
2 - 1
LAN
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |