UM Escobedo vs SD Textil Escudo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
4º
3º
25
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
91.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
62% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ESC
3 - 1
ALB
58%
22%
21%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
TRO
2 - 0
ESC
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ESC
2 - 0
NAV
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 2
ESC
18%
23%
60%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TRO
0 - 0
ESC
49%
25%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SD Textil Escudo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
TEX
1 - 2
TRO
10%
16%
75%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NAV
1 - 0
TEX
62%
22%
17%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TEX
0 - 0
CAS
44%
25%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
TEX
49%
24%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
TEX
0 - 2
RAC
13%
23%
64%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |