3. Liga Round 21

SSV Ulm vs Unterhaching analysis

SSV Ulm Unterhaching
65 ELO 65
-4.2% Tilt 6%
678º General ELO ranking 1965º
40º Country ELO ranking 74º
ELO win probability
36.9%
SSV Ulm
26.6%
Draw
36.5%
Unterhaching

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
SSV Ulm
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.5%
Win probability
Unterhaching
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SSV Ulm
-6%
-12%
Unterhaching

Points and table prediction

SSV Ulm
Their league position
Unterhaching
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
77
16º
55
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SSV Ulm
77
77
100%
Preußen Münster
67
67
100%
Jahn Regensburg
63
63
100%
Dynamo Dresden
62
62
100%
1. FC Saarbrücken
60
60
0%
Erzgebirge Aue
60
60
0%
Rot-Weiss Essen
59
59
100%
Sandhausen
56
56
100%
Unterhaching
55
55
100%
Ingolstadt 04
10º
54
54
10º
100%
B. Dortmund II
11º
54
54
11º
100%
Verl
12º
53
53
12º
100%
Viktoria Köln
13º
49
49
13º
100%
Arminia Bielefeld
14º
46
46
14º
0%
1860 München
15º
46
46
15º
0%
Waldhof Mannheim
16º
43
43
16º
100%
Hallescher FC
17º
40
40
17º
100%
MSV Duisburg
18º
34
34
18º
100%
VfB Lübeck
19º
32
32
19º
100%
Freiburg II
20º
30
30
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
SSV Ulm
Unterhaching
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

SSV Ulm
Unterhaching
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SSV Ulm
SSV Ulm
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jan. 2024
KSC
Karlsruher SC
4 - 0
SSV Ulm
ULM
66%
19%
15%
64 75 11 0
19 Dec. 2023
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
2 - 1
SSV Ulm
ULM
66%
21%
14%
65 76 11 -1
16 Dec. 2023
VER
Verl
0 - 3
SSV Ulm
ULM
55%
23%
22%
63 67 4 +2
09 Dec. 2023
ULM
SSV Ulm
1 - 1
B. Dortmund II
BOR
37%
27%
36%
63 65 2 0
02 Dec. 2023
VIK
Viktoria Köln
1 - 3
SSV Ulm
ULM
53%
24%
23%
62 66 4 +1

Matches

Unterhaching
Unterhaching
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 2024
UNT
Unterhaching
4 - 1
SCR Altach
ALT
28%
24%
48%
66 76 10 0
08 Jan. 2024
SSV
Jahn Regensburg
3 - 1
Unterhaching
UNT
54%
22%
24%
66 71 5 0
19 Dec. 2023
UNT
Unterhaching
1 - 2
Jahn Regensburg
SSV
34%
26%
41%
66 71 5 0
16 Dec. 2023
UNT
Unterhaching
3 - 2
Preußen Münster
PRE
41%
25%
34%
65 65 0 +1
10 Dec. 2023
SGD
Dynamo Dresden
2 - 1
Unterhaching
UNT
59%
23%
18%
66 74 8 -1