Ulm vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
78.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
ULM
1 - 2
HES
67%
18%
14%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
BAY
0 - 4
ULM
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
EIN
0 - 3
ULM
21%
23%
57%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
STE
1 - 1
ULM
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ULM
3 - 0
BAL
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
S04
0 - 1
ARB
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
S04
0 - 2
SCF
39%
25%
37%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
AUG
2 - 2
S04
33%
24%
43%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
S04
0 - 3
LEV
17%
20%
62%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
MON
4 - 1
S04
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |