Ulm vs SpVgg Neckarelz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 2
ULM
19%
23%
58%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
STU
1 - 0
ULM
15%
23%
62%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ULM
2 - 0
BAH
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ULM
2 - 1
ILL
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VFR
1 - 1
ULM
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Neckarelz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NEC
5 - 1
OFF
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 1
NOR
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
NEC
5 - 1
STU
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 1
NEC
37%
24%
40%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 0
VFR
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |