NB I Round 30

Újpest FC vs Budapesti Vasas analysis

Újpest FC Budapesti Vasas
71 ELO 65
8.5% Tilt 6%
898º General ELO ranking 1145º
Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
60.5%
Újpest FC
22.2%
Draw
17.3%
Budapesti Vasas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
Újpest FC
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.3%
Win probability
Budapesti Vasas
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Újpest FC
-11%
-7%
Budapesti Vasas

Points and table prediction

Újpest FC
Their league position
Budapesti Vasas
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
11º
26
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ferencvárosi
63
63
100%
Kecskeméti
57
57
100%
Debreceni VSC
54
54
100%
Puskás Akadémia
53
53
100%
Paksi FC
49
49
100%
Kisvárda
43
43
100%
Mezőkövesd-Zsory
42
42
100%
Újpest FC
41
41
100%
Zalaegerszegi TE
39
39
100%
Fehérvár
10º
35
35
10º
100%
Budapest Honved
11º
33
33
11º
100%
Budapesti Vasas
12º
26
26
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Újpest FC
Budapesti Vasas
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Újpest FC
Budapesti Vasas
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Újpest FC
Újpest FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2023
UJP
Újpest FC
2 - 3
Ferencvárosi
FTC
42%
27%
31%
72 75 3 0
21 Apr. 2023
BUD
Budapest Honved
0 - 1
Újpest FC
UJP
33%
27%
40%
71 67 4 +1
16 Apr. 2023
UJP
Újpest FC
3 - 2
Paksi FC
PAK
31%
24%
46%
71 74 3 0
08 Apr. 2023
FHV
Fehérvár
0 - 0
Újpest FC
UJP
51%
25%
24%
71 75 4 0
01 Apr. 2023
UJP
Újpest FC
3 - 2
Zalaegerszegi TE
ZTE
44%
26%
30%
71 71 0 0

Matches

Budapesti Vasas
Budapesti Vasas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2023
VAS
Budapesti Vasas
2 - 2
Puskás Akadémia
PUS
28%
28%
44%
65 76 11 0
22 Apr. 2023
VAS
Budapesti Vasas
0 - 1
Ferencvárosi
FTC
29%
27%
44%
65 75 10 0
15 Apr. 2023
MEZ
Mezőkövesd-Zsory
1 - 4
Budapesti Vasas
VAS
53%
25%
23%
65 69 4 0
09 Apr. 2023
VAS
Budapesti Vasas
0 - 1
Budapest Honved
BUD
40%
26%
34%
65 68 3 0
05 Apr. 2023
BUD
Budafoki
3 - 0
Budapesti Vasas
VAS
17%
22%
61%
67 54 13 -2