Uganda vs Tanzania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
NER
2 - 1
UGA
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
CAF
1 - 0
UGA
8%
15%
77%
|
68 | 22 | 46 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
UGA
0 - 0
MWI
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
UGA
0 - 0
CIV
21%
27%
53%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
UGA
0 - 1
NAM
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
TZA
2 - 0
COD
14%
21%
65%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
DZA
4 - 1
TZA
79%
14%
6%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 1
TZA
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
TZA
1 - 1
MWI
46%
26%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
RWA
0 - 0
TZA
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |