Uganda vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
UGA
2 - 0
GIN
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
GHA
1 - 1
UGA
72%
19%
10%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
NER
2 - 0
UGA
25%
26%
50%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MRT
0 - 1
UGA
15%
20%
65%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
UGA
2 - 0
MRT
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
TGO
2 - 3
GHA
21%
27%
52%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
GIN
2 - 1
TGO
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
TGO
2 - 1
COD
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
LBY
2 - 0
TGO
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
TGO
0 - 3
CMR
16%
26%
58%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |