Uganda vs Angola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
UGA
1 - 1
ZMB
41%
26%
34%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
TZA
2 - 3
UGA
27%
26%
47%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
RWA
0 - 2
UGA
25%
26%
50%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2009 |
KEN
0 - 1
UGA
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
BDI
0 - 2
UGA
16%
22%
62%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
AGO
0 - 2
URY
16%
25%
60%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
MEX
1 - 0
AGO
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 93 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
AGO
1 - 1
LVA
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
AGO
0 - 1
GHA
24%
25%
52%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2010 |
AGO
0 - 0
DZA
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |