Uganda Police vs UPDF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 5
UGA
12%
17%
72%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
UGA
5 - 0
CAL
80%
12%
7%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
KYE
0 - 3
UGA
39%
22%
39%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
UGA
0 - 1
EXP
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
KCC
1 - 1
UGA
60%
21%
20%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UPDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
UPD
1 - 0
AHS
15%
19%
65%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
AHS
3 - 2
UPD
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
UPD
0 - 3
VIP
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
UPD
0 - 0
WAK
53%
25%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
MYD
0 - 3
UPD
41%
22%
37%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +2 |