UPDF vs Arua Hill analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
38.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UPDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
BUL
5 - 1
UPD
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
UPD
1 - 0
IMP
74%
17%
10%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
UPD
1 - 1
VIP
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
UGA
2 - 2
UPD
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
UPD
0 - 0
SCV
54%
23%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arua Hill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
AHS
4 - 2
WAK
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
AHS
2 - 2
BUL
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
VIP
3 - 1
AHS
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
AHS
2 - 0
UGA
57%
22%
20%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
UGA
0 - 0
AHS
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |