Ufa vs Gornyak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ufa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
TYU
3 - 1
UFA
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
AKT
2 - 3
UFA
16%
22%
62%
|
60 | 17 | 43 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
RUB
1 - 1
UFA
15%
23%
62%
|
60 | 26 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2009 |
UFA
2 - 0
KHI
77%
16%
7%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
UFA
2 - 1
DIN
80%
15%
6%
|
60 | 25 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Gornyak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
GUC
1 - 1
NEF
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
RUB
0 - 2
GUC
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
AKT
0 - 2
GUC
21%
23%
56%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2009 |
GUC
5 - 1
DIN
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
GUC
4 - 0
KHI
60%
23%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |