Croatia Third Division Centro Round 15

Kurilovec vs Bistra analysis

Kurilovec Bistra
34 ELO 28
-4.5% Tilt -5.9%
33841º General ELO ranking 23051º
215º Country ELO ranking 82º
ELO win probability
56%
Kurilovec
21.1%
Draw
23%
Bistra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
Kurilovec
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
23%
Win probability
Bistra
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kurilovec
+25%
-10%
Bistra

Points and table prediction

Kurilovec
Their league position
Bistra
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
17º
10º
44
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Segesta
74
74
100%
Gaj Mače
64
64
100%
Vrapče
60
60
100%
Lučko
58
58
100%
NK Ponikve
51
51
100%
Zagorec
49
49
100%
NK Maksimir
47
47
0%
Samobor
47
47
0%
NK Trešnjevka
47
47
0%
Kurilovec
10º
47
47
10º
0%
NK HASK Zagreb
11º
46
46
11º
100%
Lukavec
12º
45
45
12º
100%
 Dinamo OO
13º
45
45
13º
100%
Bistra
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Mladost Petrinja
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Tondach Bedekovcina
16º
32
32
16º
100%
NK Zelina
17º
29
29
17º
0%
Sava Strmec
18º
26
29
18º
0%
Expected probabilities
Kurilovec
Bistra
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Kurilovec
Bistra
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kurilovec
Kurilovec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2023
LKV
Lukavec
2 - 2
Kurilovec
NUK
44%
23%
33%
34 34 0 0
04 Nov. 2023
NUK
Kurilovec
3 - 2
NK Zelina
NKZ
60%
20%
20%
34 26 8 0
28 Oct. 2023
SEG
Segesta
2 - 1
Kurilovec
NUK
54%
21%
24%
35 35 0 -1
21 Oct. 2023
NUK
Kurilovec
2 - 1
Zagorec
ZAG
19%
20%
61%
33 44 11 +2
14 Oct. 2023
MAK
NK Maksimir
5 - 0
Kurilovec
NUK
67%
18%
15%
34 38 4 -1

Matches

Bistra
Bistra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2023
BIS
Bistra
0 - 2
NK Ponikve
PON
42%
23%
34%
30 33 3 0
04 Nov. 2023
NMP
Mladost Petrinja
2 - 1
Bistra
BIS
42%
23%
35%
32 30 2 -2
29 Oct. 2023
BIS
Bistra
2 - 1
Tondach Bedekovcina
NKT
67%
18%
16%
32 24 8 0
21 Oct. 2023
TRE
NK Trešnjevka
4 - 0
Bistra
BIS
57%
20%
22%
34 37 3 -2
14 Oct. 2023
BIS
Bistra
2 - 1
NK HASK Zagreb
HAS
49%
24%
28%
32 34 2 +2