Croatia Third Division center Round 15

Kurilovec vs Bistra analysis

Kurilovec Bistra
33 ELO 27
-4.6% Tilt -6%
8587º General ELO ranking 24668º
69º Country ELO ranking 108º
ELO win probability
57%
Kurilovec
20.9%
Draw
22.2%
Bistra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
Kurilovec
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
22.2%
Win probability
Bistra
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kurilovec
-33%
+33%
Bistra

Points and table prediction

Kurilovec
Their league position
Bistra
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
17º
10º
44
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Segesta
74
74
100%
Gaj Mače
64
64
100%
Vrapče
60
60
100%
Lučko
58
58
100%
NK Ponikve
51
51
100%
Zagorec
49
49
100%
NK Maksimir
47
47
0%
Samobor
47
47
0%
NK Trešnjevka
47
47
0%
Kurilovec
10º
47
47
10º
0%
NK HASK Zagreb
11º
46
46
11º
100%
Lukavec
12º
45
45
12º
100%
 Dinamo OO
13º
45
45
13º
100%
Bistra
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Mladost Petrinja
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Tondach Bedekovcina
16º
32
32
16º
100%
NK Zelina
17º
29
29
17º
0%
Sava Strmec
18º
26
29
18º
0%
Expected probabilities
Kurilovec
Bistra
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Kurilovec
Bistra
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kurilovec
Kurilovec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2023
LKV
Lukavec
2 - 2
Kurilovec
NUK
44%
23%
33%
33 33 0 0
04 Nov. 2023
NUK
Kurilovec
3 - 2
NK Zelina
NKZ
59%
20%
22%
33 26 7 0
28 Oct. 2023
SEG
Segesta
2 - 1
Kurilovec
NUK
54%
22%
25%
34 35 1 -1
21 Oct. 2023
NUK
Kurilovec
2 - 1
Zagorec
ZAG
19%
20%
61%
31 43 12 +3
14 Oct. 2023
MAK
NK Maksimir
5 - 0
Kurilovec
NUK
66%
18%
16%
33 37 4 -2

Matches

Bistra
Bistra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2023
BIS
Bistra
0 - 2
NK Ponikve
PON
41%
24%
35%
29 33 4 0
04 Nov. 2023
NMP
Mladost Petrinja
2 - 1
Bistra
BIS
43%
23%
34%
30 29 1 -1
29 Oct. 2023
BIS
Bistra
2 - 1
Tondach Bedekovcina
NKT
68%
17%
15%
30 23 7 0
21 Oct. 2023
TRE
NK Trešnjevka
4 - 0
Bistra
BIS
58%
20%
22%
32 35 3 -2
14 Oct. 2023
BIS
Bistra
2 - 1
NK HASK Zagreb
HAS
48%
24%
28%
31 33 2 +1