Udinese vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
UDI
4 - 1
ACM
27%
30%
43%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
PAL
1 - 5
UDI
32%
27%
42%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
UDI
0 - 1
BOL
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
FIO
2 - 2
UDI
31%
27%
43%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
UDI
1 - 1
INT
25%
25%
50%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
LEC
2 - 2
FIO
56%
23%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
INT
2 - 1
LEC
75%
16%
10%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
LEC
1 - 0
MES
62%
22%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
PAL
3 - 2
LEC
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
LEC
3 - 0
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |