Tercera RFEF IX - Andalucía y Melilla. Jor. 17

UD Torre Del Mar vs Real Jaén analysis

UD Torre Del Mar Real Jaén
33 ELO 35
-5.6% Tilt -3.4%
5712º General ELO ranking 5324º
195º Country ELO ranking 174º
ELO win probability
43.1%
UD Torre Del Mar
25.6%
Draw
31.3%
Real Jaén

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
UD Torre Del Mar
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.2%
Win probability
Real Jaén
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
UD Torre Del Mar
-18%
+31%
Real Jaén

Points and table prediction

UD Torre Del Mar
Their league position
Real Jaén
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
16º
68
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Marbella FC
72
72
100%
Real Jaén
68
68
100%
El Palo FC
63
63
100%
UD Torre Del Mar
55
55
100%
At. Malagueño
45
45
0%
Huétor Vega
45
45
0%
Almería B
41
41
100%
UDC Torredonjimeno
41
41
0%
CF Motril
41
41
0%
Arenas de Armilla
10º
39
39
10º
100%
CD Torreperogil
11º
38
38
11º
100%
CD Huétor Tájar
12º
37
37
12º
100%
Maracena
13º
33
33
13º
100%
FC Málaga City
14º
25
25
14º
100%
Atletico Porcuna
15º
21
21
15º
100%
CD Huracán Melilla
16º
5
5
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
UD Torre Del Mar
Real Jaén
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

UD Torre Del Mar
Real Jaén
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

UD Torre Del Mar
UD Torre Del Mar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2023
HUE
CD Huétor Tájar
3 - 0
UD Torre Del Mar
UDT
41%
23%
36%
34 32 2 0
17 Dec. 2022
CHM
CD Huracán Melilla
0 - 5
UD Torre Del Mar
UDT
8%
14%
79%
34 12 22 0
11 Dec. 2022
UDT
UD Torre Del Mar
4 - 1
Almería B
ALM
43%
24%
33%
32 33 1 +2
08 Dec. 2022
MAL
At. Malagueño
0 - 0
UD Torre Del Mar
UDT
44%
23%
33%
32 31 1 0
04 Dec. 2022
UDT
UD Torre Del Mar
2 - 0
Arenas de Armilla
ARE
68%
19%
13%
32 22 10 0

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2023
RJA
Real Jaén
1 - 0
CF Motril
MOT
70%
18%
13%
36 27 9 0
18 Dec. 2022
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 0
Marbella FC
MAR
26%
25%
49%
33 42 9 +3
11 Dec. 2022
CDM
FC Málaga City
0 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
17%
22%
61%
34 17 17 -1
07 Dec. 2022
HUE
CD Huétor Tájar
0 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
53%
23%
24%
34 33 1 0
03 Dec. 2022
RJA
Real Jaén
7 - 0
CD Huracán Melilla
CHM
90%
8%
3%
33 11 22 +1
X