UD Torre Del Mar vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
4º
16º
4º
68
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Torre Del Mar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
HUE
3 - 0
UDT
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CHM
0 - 5
UDT
8%
14%
79%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
UDT
4 - 1
ALM
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
MAL
0 - 0
UDT
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
UDT
2 - 0
ARE
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
RJA
1 - 0
MOT
70%
18%
13%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
RJA
2 - 0
MAR
26%
25%
49%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 0
RJA
17%
22%
61%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
HUE
0 - 0
RJA
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
RJA
7 - 0
CHM
90%
8%
3%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | 0 |