Sumacarcer A vs Carcer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
36.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumacarcer A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ANN
5 - 1
SUM
91%
6%
3%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
FDF
5 - 2
SUM
61%
19%
21%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SUM
0 - 1
CAR
24%
20%
56%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ALB
10 - 0
SUM
90%
8%
3%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
SUM
0 - 1
CIU
9%
15%
76%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Carcer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
SEN
19%
19%
62%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
VAL
11%
18%
72%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
GUA
8%
14%
78%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
RAF
49%
22%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
GEN
2 - 0
CAR
65%
19%
16%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |