Segunda División RFEF Round 17

UD Logroñés B vs Brea analysis

UD Logroñés B Brea
40 ELO 45
-1.5% Tilt -10.4%
4658º General ELO ranking 8482º
153º Country ELO ranking 434º
ELO win probability
38.6%
UD Logroñés B
28.3%
Draw
33.1%
Brea

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
UD Logroñés B
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
33.1%
Win probability
Brea
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
UD Logroñés B
+13%
+30%
Brea

Points and table prediction

UD Logroñés B
Their league position
Brea
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
17º
17º
44
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sestao River
72
72
100%
Deportivo Alavés B
60
60
100%
SD Tarazona
57
57
100%
Tudelano
53
53
100%
SD Gernika
51
51
100%
Utebo
50
51
100%
Real Sociedad C
50
50
100%
AD San Juan
49
49
0%
Arenas de Getxo
49
49
0%
Izarra
10º
48
48
10º
100%
Mutilvera
11º
47
47
11º
100%
Brea
12º
44
44
12º
100%
Beasain KE
13º
39
39
13º
100%
Cirbonero
14º
38
38
14º
100%
CD Alfaro
15º
34
34
15º
100%
Racing Rioja
17º
32
33
16º
100%
UD Logroñés B
16º
32
32
17º
100%
Arnedo
18º
24
24
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
UD Logroñés B
Brea
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

UD Logroñés B
Brea
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

UD Logroñés B
UD Logroñés B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2023
ATL
Cirbonero
1 - 0
UD Logroñés B
UDL
32%
25%
43%
40 36 4 0
18 Dec. 2022
UDL
UD Logroñés B
0 - 1
Mutilvera
UDM
48%
25%
27%
41 41 0 -1
10 Dec. 2022
SJU
AD San Juan
2 - 0
UD Logroñés B
UDL
41%
28%
31%
42 43 1 -1
03 Dec. 2022
UDL
UD Logroñés B
0 - 3
Deportivo Alavés B
ALA
51%
24%
24%
44 43 1 -2
27 Nov. 2022
GER
SD Gernika
0 - 0
UD Logroñés B
UDL
41%
26%
33%
44 43 1 0

Matches

Brea
Brea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2023
CFB
Brea
2 - 0
CD Alfaro
ALF
64%
22%
14%
45 35 10 0
17 Dec. 2022
UFC
Utebo
3 - 0
Brea
CFB
49%
26%
25%
47 44 3 -2
11 Dec. 2022
CFB
Brea
1 - 1
SD Tarazona
TAR
45%
27%
29%
47 46 1 0
04 Dec. 2022
IZA
Izarra
0 - 1
Brea
CFB
42%
29%
29%
46 44 2 +1
27 Nov. 2022
CFB
Brea
1 - 0
Tudelano
TUD
40%
27%
33%
45 46 1 +1