Tercera Division Asturias. Jor. 19

UD Llanera vs Atlético de Lugones analysis

UD Llanera Atlético de Lugones
22 ELO 17
3.4% Tilt -11.6%
5103º General ELO ranking 14184º
158º Country ELO ranking 2324º
ELO win probability
66.6%
UD Llanera
19%
Draw
14.4%
Atlético de Lugones

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
UD Llanera
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.4%
Win probability
Atlético de Lugones
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
UD Llanera
+50%
-6%
Atlético de Lugones

ELO progression

UD Llanera
Atlético de Lugones
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

UD Llanera
UD Llanera
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Dec. 2016
UPL
Langreo
3 - 1
UD Llanera
UDL
83%
13%
5%
22 45 23 0
04 Dec. 2016
UDL
UD Llanera
3 - 1
Mosconia
MOS
63%
20%
17%
21 18 3 +1
27 Nov. 2016
TIN
Tineo
0 - 1
UD Llanera
UDL
39%
26%
35%
21 18 3 0
20 Nov. 2016
UDL
UD Llanera
2 - 1
CD Praviano
PRA
49%
23%
28%
20 20 0 +1
13 Nov. 2016
UDL
UD Llanera
2 - 1
Marino de Luanco
MAR
19%
24%
57%
18 34 16 +2

Matches

Atlético de Lugones
Atlético de Lugones
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Dec. 2016
ATL
Atlético de Lugones
1 - 1
SD Lenense Proinastur
LEN
52%
24%
24%
17 17 0 0
04 Dec. 2016
COL
CD Colunga
1 - 2
Atlético de Lugones
ATL
75%
16%
9%
17 25 8 0
27 Nov. 2016
ATL
Atlético de Lugones
1 - 1
Urraca CF
URR
53%
23%
24%
17 16 1 0
20 Nov. 2016
CON
Condal
2 - 0
Atlético de Lugones
ATL
70%
19%
11%
17 25 8 0
13 Nov. 2016
ATL
Atlético de Lugones
2 - 3
UC Ceares
CEA
41%
25%
34%
18 19 1 -1
X