UD Fornacense vs Santa Marta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
21.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+132%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
UDF
1 - 2
ZAL
75%
15%
11%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
CDS
3 - 3
UDF
54%
23%
23%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
UDF
1 - 1
QUI
29%
22%
49%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
UDF
3 - 1
CDB
43%
23%
34%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
USA
4 - 1
UDF
55%
21%
24%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SMA
2 - 0
SNV
15%
20%
65%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LOB
5 - 0
SMA
72%
16%
12%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SMA
0 - 2
BAD
24%
21%
56%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VER
3 - 1
SMA
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SMA
2 - 3
VAL
22%
21%
57%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |