UD España vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
8.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
SDC
3 - 4
UDE
74%
14%
12%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
UDE
2 - 1
EME
83%
10%
6%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
UDE
1 - 1
MEL
76%
13%
11%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
ILI
4 - 3
UDE
49%
20%
31%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
UDE
5 - 2
ALG
81%
11%
8%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
RJA
3 - 0
ILI
68%
16%
16%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
ALG
5 - 3
RJA
60%
19%
22%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
RJA
4 - 0
REC
39%
21%
40%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +4 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
CAT
2 - 1
RJA
83%
10%
7%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
RJA
1 - 4
RCD
24%
21%
55%
|
36 | 66 | 30 | -1 |