Ud Carral vs Brexo Lema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
22.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ud Carral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
UDC
2 - 3
BOI
44%
22%
34%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CDM
2 - 0
UDC
15%
18%
68%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
UDC
2 - 1
BET
51%
24%
25%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
EUM
1 - 1
UDC
54%
20%
26%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
UDC
6 - 2
RAP
70%
17%
13%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brexo Lema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 1
SAN
53%
21%
26%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
BOI
5 - 1
BRE
49%
22%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 0
OLI
48%
22%
30%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CDM
0 - 1
BRE
36%
23%
41%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 2
CED
67%
18%
16%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |