U.D. Alpera vs Casasimarro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
23.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+458%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U.D. Alpera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
LGI
1 - 0
ALP
39%
24%
38%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
ALP
3 - 0
ABA
63%
19%
18%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CMG
4 - 1
ALP
36%
23%
42%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
ALP
1 - 0
OMA
43%
23%
34%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MAN
3 - 2
ALP
57%
22%
21%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Casasimarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 2
MAH
38%
24%
39%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
PED
2 - 0
CAS
80%
13%
7%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 1
OSS
55%
22%
24%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
LGI
5 - 0
CAS
32%
24%
44%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
ABA
64%
19%
17%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |