UCV vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
44.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
UCV
65%
21%
13%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
UCV
0 - 1
ZUL
24%
27%
49%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
UCV
0 - 2
MON
16%
23%
61%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
MIN
3 - 1
UCV
55%
25%
21%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
APC
3 - 0
UCV
53%
27%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
LAR
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
EST
1 - 1
POR
46%
28%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
POR
0 - 1
CAR
41%
29%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
MET
0 - 0
POR
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2022 |
POR
2 - 3
ZAM
26%
29%
44%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |