UCV vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
46.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
8º
14º
13º
39
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MET
1 - 1
UCV
68%
21%
11%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
4 - 0
UCV
61%
24%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
UCV
2 - 3
MET
21%
28%
52%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
DEP
0 - 1
UCV
64%
23%
13%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
UCV
1 - 1
ZAM
16%
26%
58%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 0
MON
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 2
CFC
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
EST
1 - 1
DEP
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DEP
0 - 0
BAR
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
4 - 0
DEP
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |