UCF vs Memphis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
4.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
SFB
2 - 3
UCF
16%
19%
65%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
UCF
4 - 1
TMP
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MPH
1 - 4
UCF
10%
16%
75%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
UCF
0 - 4
PIP
32%
22%
46%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
UCF
2 - 1
JMD
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Memphis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
TMP
0 - 2
MPH
86%
10%
5%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
MPH
0 - 1
TUL
10%
16%
75%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MPH
1 - 4
UCF
10%
16%
75%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
MPH
0 - 3
UCF
9%
15%
76%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
MPH
2 - 3
TMP
14%
18%
68%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |