UC Cartes vs CD Guarnizo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
44.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
16º
13º
31
5º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
62% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Cartes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SIE
5 - 1
CAR
59%
21%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
SAM
25%
24%
51%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SDT
5 - 0
CAR
63%
21%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
GAM
38%
25%
38%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
TEX
2 - 0
CAR
54%
24%
22%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Guarnizo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CUL
0 - 1
CAY
19%
23%
58%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
CUL
68%
19%
14%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CUL
1 - 0
REV
54%
23%
23%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SOL
2 - 3
CUL
31%
27%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CUL
2 - 3
ALB
32%
25%
43%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |