AlbinoLeffe vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AlbinoLeffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 1
ABN
36%
29%
36%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
CES
0 - 3
ABN
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
ABN
3 - 1
MOD
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
ABN
3 - 1
RAV
64%
22%
15%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
GRO
2 - 2
ABN
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
MES
3 - 3
MOD
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
TRE
6 - 2
MES
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
MES
2 - 1
BRE
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
FRO
4 - 0
MES
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
MES
1 - 0
MAN
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |