Uberaba SC vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uberaba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
USC
2 - 2
CRZ
20%
23%
56%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
AME
1 - 0
USC
49%
27%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1979 |
ADL
1 - 1
USC
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
USC
1 - 0
CSA
56%
25%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1979 |
COM
1 - 0
USC
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1979 |
VIL
1 - 4
ADL
39%
28%
34%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
CRZ
4 - 1
VIL
83%
12%
6%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1979 |
DBO
0 - 1
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1979 |
VIL
0 - 1
COM
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1979 |
CSA
1 - 0
VIL
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |