UA Zacatecas vs Mexicali FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
7º
6º
8
6º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 17 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 17 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UA Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
TAM
1 - 0
ZAC
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
ZAC
3 - 1
TAM
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ZAC
5 - 2
CAF
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
CAF
1 - 2
ZAC
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ZAC
3 - 0
AGU
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mexicali FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MFC
1 - 1
NAY
6%
14%
80%
|
22 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TRI
2 - 0
MFC
87%
10%
3%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 3
EST
13%
17%
70%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
CFC
6 - 0
MFC
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LEO
5 - 0
MFC
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |