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Serie D. Group D, Matchday 34

Real Forte Querceta vs Progresso analysis

Real Forte Querceta Progresso
20 ELO 20
-31% Tilt 5%
7134º General ELO ranking 6928º
274º Country ELO ranking 260º
ELO win probability
32.1%
Real Forte Querceta
30.8%
Draw
37.1%
Progresso

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
Real Forte Querceta
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.8%
37.1%
Win probability
Progresso
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Forte Querceta
+4%
+1%
Progresso

Points and table prediction

Real Forte Querceta
Their league position
Progresso
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
12º
36
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Fiorenzuola
75
75
100%
Aglianese
73
73
100%
Lentigione
65
65
100%
Prato
54
54
100%
Rimini
52
52
50%
Forli
52
52
50%
Pro Livorno
48
48
100%
Correggese
47
47
100%
Real Forte Querceta
46
46
100%
Sammaurese
10º
42
42
10º
100%
Ghivizzano Borgo
11º
41
41
11º
100%
Bagnolese
12º
40
40
12º
100%
Mezzolara
13º
39
39
13º
100%
Seravezza
14º
36
36
14º
50%
Progresso
15º
36
36
15º
50%
Sasso Marconi
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Marignanese
17º
29
29
17º
100%
Corticella
18º
24
24
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Real Forte Querceta
Progresso
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation playoffs
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Real Forte Querceta
USR
Progresso
PRO
Virtus Entella
ACD
Empoli
EMP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Forte Querceta
Real Forte Querceta
1%
X%
2%
ELO USR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jun. 2021
COR
Corticella
2 - 1
Real Forte Querceta
USR
45%
27%
28%
263 264 1 -1
23 May. 2021
USR
Real Forte Querceta
1 - 1
Fiorenzuola
FIO
47%
27%
26%
263 223 40 0
16 May. 2021
SER
Seravezza
4 - 3
Real Forte Querceta
USR
47%
27%
26%
264 312 48 -1
09 May. 2021
USR
Real Forte Querceta
0 - 2
Aglianese
ACA
42%
27%
31%
266 431 -165 -2
02 May. 2021
MEZ
Mezzolara
1 - 1
Real Forte Querceta
USR
42%
28%
30%
266 195 -71 0

Matches

Progresso
Progresso
1%
X%
2%
ELO PRO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jun. 2021
PRO
Progresso
2 - 3
Rimini
RIM
41%
28%
31%
267 402 -135 -1
30 May. 2021
FIO
Fiorenzuola
4 - 0
Progresso
PRO
46%
27%
27%
270 223 -47 -3
26 May. 2021
PRO
Progresso
3 - 3
Sammaurese
SAM
45%
27%
28%
270 263 7 0
23 May. 2021
COR
Correggese
1 - 0
Progresso
PRO
47%
27%
26%
271 307 36 -1
18 Apr. 2021
ACA
Aglianese
4 - 2
Progresso
PRO
51%
26%
23%
273 429 156 -2