Tynecastle vs Civil Service Strollers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
5.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tynecastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
LOT
2 - 1
TYN
53%
22%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CIV
2 - 4
TYN
20%
20%
61%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 0
TYN
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 2
TYN
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
COL
1 - 4
TYN
30%
21%
49%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Civil Service Strollers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SPA
0 - 2
CIV
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CIV
2 - 4
TYN
20%
20%
61%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
LEI
7 - 3
CIV
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CIV
0 - 4
SPA
27%
23%
50%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CIV
0 - 3
COL
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |