TuS Geretsried vs ESV Freilassing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
12.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Geretsried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
TSV
1 - 2
TUS
44%
22%
34%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
FRE
3 - 1
TUS
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
TUS
1 - 1
LAN
43%
22%
35%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
TSM
1 - 0
TUS
10%
15%
75%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
TUS
3 - 0
SVM
78%
13%
9%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
ESV Freilassing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ESF
1 - 4
FRE
20%
20%
61%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ERL
0 - 0
ESF
50%
22%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ESF
2 - 2
TSK
45%
21%
34%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
TPF
4 - 3
ESF
21%
20%
59%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ESF
0 - 4
DEI
26%
21%
53%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |