TuS Bersenbrück vs Lupo-Martini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
3º
2º
53
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 86 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 67 |
2º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
77% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 60 |
4º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
53 | 57 |
5º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
6º
|
29% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 56 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 55 |
8º
|
40.5% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 48 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 48 |
10º
|
53% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 44 |
11º
|
79% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 41 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 40 |
13º
|
74.5% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
35% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
39.5% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 28 |
16º
|
68% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 24 |
17º
|
60.5% | |
|
18º
|
19 | 22 |
18º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
77% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
23% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Bersenbrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
BSV
3 - 1
TUB
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TUB
2 - 1
SCH
61%
20%
19%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AHA
2 - 4
TUB
16%
18%
66%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
TUB
3 - 1
SVM
88%
8%
4%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MEC
0 - 4
TUB
30%
23%
47%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lupo-Martini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LUP
2 - 1
BOR
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GER
1 - 1
LUP
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LUP
1 - 1
ROT
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VFL
2 - 2
LUP
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LUP
2 - 0
BSV
72%
18%
11%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |