Turris Neapolis vs Nardò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+96%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
RPO
3 - 3
TUR
45%
25%
31%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TUR
3 - 0
SSE
52%
24%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
APR
0 - 1
TUR
28%
25%
48%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
GAL
2 - 0
TUR
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
TUR
2 - 1
TOR
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
NAR
4 - 0
SSE
45%
24%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 2
NAR
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NAR
2 - 1
ACI
54%
25%
22%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 0
NAR
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
NAR
2 - 0
BIS
22%
25%
52%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +3 |