Turris Neapolis vs Gragnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SFM
1 - 1
TUR
11%
17%
72%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
TUR
2 - 0
FBC
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
PIC
3 - 1
TUR
62%
21%
16%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
NAR
1 - 1
TUR
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
TUR
2 - 1
FCF
44%
22%
35%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 2
CAV
13%
20%
68%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 3
TAR
23%
26%
51%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
NFR
0 - 0
GRA
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 0
PIC
26%
23%
51%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 1
NAR
25%
24%
51%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |